Decision Analysis
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DECISION ANALYSIS
Vol. 3, No. 2, June 2006, pp. 94-99
DOI: 10.1287/deca.1060.0068
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On Equivalent Target-Oriented Formulations for Multiattribute Utility

Ilia Tsetlin, Robert L. Winkler

INSEAD, 1 Ayer Rajah Avenue, Singapore 138676
Fuqua School of Business, Duke University, Durham, North Carolina 27708-0120

ilia.tsetlin{at}insead.edu
rwinkler{at}duke.edu

Targets are used quite often as a management tool, and it has been argued that thinking in terms of targets may be more natural than thinking in terms of utilities. The standard expected-utility framework with a single attribute (such as money) and nondecreasing, bounded utility is equivalent to a target-oriented setting. A utility function, properly scaled, can be expressed as a cumulative distribution function (cdf) and related to the probability of meeting a target value. We consider whether the equivalence of the two approaches extends to the case of multiattribute utility. Our analysis shows that a multiattribute utility function cannot always be expressed in the form of a cumulative distribution function and, furthermore, cannot always be expressed in the form of a target-oriented utility function. However, in each case equivalence does hold for certain well-known classes of utility functions. In general, our results imply that although interpreting utility as a cdf and thinking about achieving targets works fine in the case of a single attribute, this approach should be used with caution in the multiattribute case, with cdf representations requiring more caution than target-oriented representations.

Key Words: target-oriented utility; utility and probability; multiattribute utility; multiattribute performance targets
History: Received on February 13, 2006. Accepted on May 6, 2006.







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